|Baseball - MLB||
Cleveland I. - Baltimore O.
(Tomlin vs. Tillman)
Cleveland I. (+1.5 R.)
1.28 (-310) (Bet365)
Wager: $150. Cleveland Indians will play Game 2 vs. the Baltimore Orioles at 7:05 EST. Cleveland will start their ace Tomlin, who is looking for his fourth career win against the Orioles. He's been stellar in his last road game at Kansas city, where he pitched excellent throughout 6 innings, but lost 0-4 because he did not get a support from the offense. Hence, the situation right now is different: the Tribe is the hottest team in baseball, winning 6 straight, as just clobbered the Orioles in Game 1, 12-0. O's will match Tomlin with C. Tillman (1-5, 8.07 ERA), who lost 5 straight, allowing 28 runs in the process. Thus, we expect the Indians to continue the winning streak and win today. With that, we pick the Cleveland Indians with the spread of (+1.5) runs. See here odds systems. Unless otherwise stated, our Bet is $100.
UPDATE, June 21, 2017: Cleveland Indians 5-6 Baltimore Orioles. The Indians lost the game by only 1 run, which allowed our Bet, based on the run spread (+1.5) Run to be a winner. I emphasized how important is to cover those bets on the favorites with (+1.5) runs; basically you're playing both sides that way. It worked last night! Tomlin went 4 2/3 innings and uncharacteristically was charged with 5 runs on 8 hits, including 3 homers. Tillman allowed the same, but this was expected, since he pitched bad as of late. The Indians lost the game in the bottom of the 7th in., when strangely their best reliever Miller did NOT appear, but Shaw stayed in the game instead, allowing 1 run for the loss. In any event, Our Bet of (+1.5) runs is a winner: $150 investment returns $192, $42 Net Profit, 28% ROI.
UPDATE, June 21, 2017, MLB Games: From the MLB game-predictions given in the "Comments" section below, we won 5 selections: Boston Red Sox over KC Royals 8-3, Colorado Rockies defeated Arizona D-Backs 4-3: as we stated earlier, when everyone bets on 1 team (D-Backs), Vegas sends the Bet "the other way". Detroit Tigers covered the Altern. Run spread of (+1.5,2.5, or 3,5 Runs), as they lost 4-5 from Seattle, this game was also "Under" in Alt. Game Total Spread of 11.5 Runs, and the L.A. Dodgers beat the NY Mets 12-0. We lost the Atlanta Braves at home (+1.5 Runs), which, in a strange game, lost it in the last 2 innings, as they allowed 5 runs(?) in the top of 8th and 1 run in the 9th: it smells like a solid "fix" to me; then, the Pirates scored 6 runs in the 1st inning (give me a break!) to win vs. the Brewers 7-3, as Davies was hit hard at home. I was reading other cappers + "their predictions" before the game, who took the Pirates, all based on the assumption, and I quote: "Kuhl himself has pitched pretty well lately though, allowing only 6 runs (!) on 11 hits in a total of 15 innings through his last three starts combined"(???!). This was totally wrong stats, as we listed that Kuhl lost all 4 games prior to last night's win, and allowed 11 runs (not 6!) and 19 hits (not 11!), and had a high ERA of 5.40 in the last 7 days. (this is not "pretty well" but BAD pitching!). Hence, sometimes the total ignorance rewards the ignorant! This game was also probably "fixed", since the Brewers scored only three runs vs. such a bad pitcher; Lastly, we didn't win on the Yankees, who lost 3-8 from the Angels. Overall we went 6-3, which allowed us NOT to lose money for the day in the end, which is the most important thing of all. In the last 3 days, we are 17-4, i.e., 81% winning record.
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