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Sport | Event name | Prediction |
Baseball - MLB |
Cleveland I. - Baltimore O. (Tomlin vs. Tillman) |
Cleveland I. (+1.5 R.) 1.28 (-310) (Bet365) |
Wager: $150. Cleveland Indians will play Game 2 vs. the Baltimore Orioles at 7:05 EST. Cleveland will start their ace Tomlin, who is looking for his fourth career win against the Orioles. He's been stellar in his last road game at Kansas city, where he pitched excellent throughout 6 innings, but lost 0-4 because he did not get a support from the offense. Hence, the situation right now is different: the Tribe is the hottest team in baseball, winning 6 straight, as just clobbered the Orioles in Game 1, 12-0. O's will match Tomlin with C. Tillman (1-5, 8.07 ERA), who lost 5 straight, allowing 28 runs in the process. Thus, we expect the Indians to continue the winning streak and win today. With that, we pick the Cleveland Indians with the spread of (+1.5) runs. See here odds systems. Unless otherwise stated, our Bet is $100.
UPDATE, June 21, 2017: Cleveland Indians 5-6 Baltimore Orioles. The Indians lost the game by only 1 run, which allowed our Bet, based on the run spread (+1.5) Run to be a winner. I emphasized how important is to cover those bets on the favorites with (+1.5) runs; basically you're playing both sides that way. It worked last night! Tomlin went 4 2/3 innings and uncharacteristically was charged with 5 runs on 8 hits, including 3 homers. Tillman allowed the same, but this was expected, since he pitched bad as of late. The Indians lost the game in the bottom of the 7th in., when strangely their best reliever Miller did NOT appear, but Shaw stayed in the game instead, allowing 1 run for the loss. In any event, Our Bet of (+1.5) runs is a winner: $150 investment returns $192, $42 Net Profit, 28% ROI.
UPDATE, June 21, 2017, MLB Games: From the MLB game-predictions given in the "Comments" section below, we won 5 selections: Boston Red Sox over KC Royals 8-3, Colorado Rockies defeated Arizona D-Backs 4-3: as we stated earlier, when everyone bets on 1 team (D-Backs), Vegas sends the Bet "the other way". Detroit Tigers covered the Altern. Run spread of (+1.5,2.5, or 3,5 Runs), as they lost 4-5 from Seattle, this game was also "Under" in Alt. Game Total Spread of 11.5 Runs, and the L.A. Dodgers beat the NY Mets 12-0. We lost the Atlanta Braves at home (+1.5 Runs), which, in a strange game, lost it in the last 2 innings, as they allowed 5 runs(?) in the top of 8th and 1 run in the 9th: it smells like a solid "fix" to me; then, the Pirates scored 6 runs in the 1st inning (give me a break!) to win vs. the Brewers 7-3, as Davies was hit hard at home. I was reading other cappers + "their predictions" before the game, who took the Pirates, all based on the assumption, and I quote: "Kuhl himself has pitched pretty well lately though, allowing only 6 runs (!) on 11 hits in a total of 15 innings through his last three starts combined"(???!). This was totally wrong stats, as we listed that Kuhl lost all 4 games prior to last night's win, and allowed 11 runs (not 6!) and 19 hits (not 11!), and had a high ERA of 5.40 in the last 7 days. (this is not "pretty well" but BAD pitching!). Hence, sometimes the total ignorance rewards the ignorant! This game was also probably "fixed", since the Brewers scored only three runs vs. such a bad pitcher; Lastly, we didn't win on the Yankees, who lost 3-8 from the Angels. Overall we went 6-3, which allowed us NOT to lose money for the day in the end, which is the most important thing of all. In the last 3 days, we are 17-4, i.e., 81% winning record.
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Comments
Although, I did not play this one, I see the following:
The Chicago White Sox and the Minnesota Twins: White Sox have Holland: Derek Holland does not have a good record vs. the Twins by allowing 10R, 5 Errors, and an ERA of 4.09, but this matches his career average. HENCE, Holland has been a stellar for the WS in the last 7 days with only 1 R, 1 Error, and an ERA of 1.50, very solid! He is 3-3 on the road, and just won his last game at home by shutting down the Orioles 6-1. On the other hand. the Twins send Santana, who allowed only 3 Hits vs. the WS in 15 IP, HENCE, Santana has been lousy in the last 7 days he allowed 5 R, 5 Errors, and an ERA of 9.0. He also lost 4 straight games at home by allowing 18 Runs in the process, not good at all! We can witness a surprise here, you know, from the visitors, who might win this one?! Despite Santana's early success in the season, he's been hit-or-miss at times over the last month and a half, so it is unclear which version of him the White Sox will be facing?!!! In 4 of Santana's last 8 starts, he's allowed 5 earned runs or more. I wouldn't bet on him, but rather, taking the underdog - so, if I were you, I would take the White Sox plus + the run spread (whatever you have available 1-2-3 Runs), and you even might seek a direct WS WIN tonight, with a smaller wager...All-time stats, the CHW leads the Twins for "Ws" - with 1135-1051 record, and in 2017, the Twins won last 2, so now is the WS turn to win some...Hence, I am skipping this game, since I've got better options, listed below! Cheers and Good LUCK!
1. I like the Boston Red Sox to bounce back and win Game 2 vs. the KC Royals. The Red Sox have my favorite guy, Chris Sale, who pitched a great game at the Phillies last time out, but lost 0-1 ( a "fixed" game!!!). With 1.13 ERA of the ace, you cannot go wrong with him! KC has Strahm, who is 1-3 at home despite his low ERA. Prior to his "W" on the road at the Angels 7-2, he lost 4 straight games!!! I also see this, as a Low-scoring game. I take the Red Sox with (+1.5) Run spread, as usual @ BET365.
2. Atlanta - San Fran Giants. The Braves killed the Giants yesterday 9-0. Atlanta has Teheran, who won 4 straight games with 2.57 ERA. The Giants have M. Moore, who has been a disaster- he lost 5 straight games, allowing 23 runs, and high ERA of 24. I take the Atlanta Braves with (+1.5) Runs at home.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates - Milwaukee Brewers: I like the Milwaukee Brewers to bounce back and win Game 2 of the series. The Pirates have Chad Kuhl, who lost 4 straight games, and has only losses on the road, with ERA of 5.40 in the last 7 days. The Brewers have a solid guy - Zach Davies, who pitched well vs. the Pirates - only 2 R, 2 Errors, and 3.18 ERA. Davies won 3 straight games, as the last time at home he shut down the L.A. Dodgers 3-0. The general public for some reason is betting on the Pirates to repeat the win of Game 1 (???), but this shall be NO brainer, a Vegas "clean up", i.e., Brewers WIN, so I take the Milwaukee Brewers with (+1.5) Runs at home.
4. Arizona @ Colorado. The battle between the BIG 2: everyone, all cappers out there, are taking Arizona with the (+) money and Zack Greinke, and when that happens Vegas takes the game "the other way". I believe they are ALL wrong: Zack Greinke was shaky in his last start - he allowed 5 runs in 1 inning against the Tigers, and would've lost the game, but the D-Backs won the game for him. He is also NOT that good vs. Colorado - allowed 5 R, 5 Errors, and ERA of 3.46, i.e., above his average! D-Backs are due to lose a game, since they escaped a loss at Phillies, last time out in extra innings! On the other hand, The Rockies have G. Marquez, who is stellar pitcher: He won 6 of the last 7, and although his numbers against the D-Backs are the same as Greinke's (3.75 ERA), in the last 7 days his ERA is only 1.80. In addition, this week's series will be the 3rd between the D-backs and Rockies this season. The Rockies have had the upper hand so far! They're 4-2 against the D-backs and have won 2-of-3 in both of the first 2 series. Here is your tiebreaker: I take the Colorado Rockies to win the game with the spread of (+1.5) Runs at home.
5. Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners. Here is your play - to seek for (+) Money Game!!! Nobody is picking this one up, hence, the Tigers have Zimmermann, who has 3 quality starts at last with ERA of 2.25, as he allowed only 5 runs in 3 games! On April 25, he won the game vs. the Mariners at home 19-9. The Mariners will send Miranda, who was shaky in his last start - 4 innings, 6 runs, 6 errors, ERA of 13.50. He is much better at home, though, but he lost his last game from Toronto 2-4. Thus, I expect the Tigers to come out on Top in this one, as I pick the Detroit Tigers with + Run Spread (whatever you have there available, 1-2 runs are OK)! This shall be also a Low Scoring game.
6. Finally, from the heavy favorites: I like the L.A. Dodgers and the NY Yankees, respectively to WIN their games at home, and defend their home parks. So, I take both teams with (+1.5) runs at home, or, if you do not have that option, play them to win their games.
You see, plenty of Options to choose today! GOOD LUCK Fellows!